Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
0.45¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.45%
$1.8M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the NFL championship game held in early 2027, using the NFL official website as the primary source. The rules clearly state that the market resolves to No as soon as it becomes impossible for the Washington Commanders to win the championship, such as after mathematical or playoff elimination. If the game is canceled or postponed past March 31, 2027 without a winner declared, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Washington Commanders will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the team to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Resolution will be determined using official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Championship resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the game is cancelled, postponed past this date, or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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