Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
0.65¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.65%
$2.2M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly ties resolution to the official outcome reported by the NFL, with early resolution to No as soon as the team is mathematically or competitively eliminated from winning the title. The inclusion of a March 31, 2027 cutoff resolves any potential calendar ambiguity between the NFL regular season year and the early-calendar-year championship game date. Participants should simply note the early resolution provision, which allows the market to settle negatively prior to the championship game if elimination occurs.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Las Vegas Raiders will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if at any point it becomes impossible for the Las Vegas Raiders to win the championship under NFL rules, such as elimination during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Championship resolution cutoff: — Game cancelled, postponed past this date, or lacking a declared winner resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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