Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
0.35¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.35%
$1.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows straightforward sports mechanics with clear resolution criteria. The market determines whether the Indianapolis Colts win the NFL championship concluded in 2027. Early resolution to No occurs as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated under league rules. The primary source is official information from the NFL website, supplemented by consensus reporting if needed. There is an explicit fallback resolving to Other if the game is cancelled or postponed past March 31, 2027 without a winner.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Indianapolis Colts will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Indianapolis Colts to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated from playoff contention. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL serves as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Key dates
- Championship completion deadline: — Postponement beyond this date or failure to declare a winner triggers an Other resolution.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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