Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
2.45¢
+0.3¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.45%
$2.5M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market clearly identifies the target event as the NFL championship concluding before March 31, 2027, relying primarily on official NFL reporting. Participants should note two specific mechanical rules: the market can resolve early to No as soon as the team is mathematically or formally eliminated from championship contention, and any cancellation or postponement past March 31, 2027 resolves the market to Other rather than waiting indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Houston Texans will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible under NFL rules for the Houston Texans to win the championship, including if they are eliminated from playoff contention. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Championship resolution deadline: — Market resolves to Other if the championship is postponed past this date or no winner is declared.
Resolution source
NFL
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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