Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
2.3¢
+0.15¢ · 24h
Implied probability 2.3%
$1.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official NFL results for the 2027 league championship game. The rules clearly state that official NFL communications will serve as the primary source, with an early resolution to No if the team is mathematically eliminated from winning the title. A clear longstop date of March 31, 2027 is provided in the event of cancellation or indefinite postponement.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Green Bay Packers will win the 2027 NFL league championship. It includes a specific fallback resolution to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past late March 2027, or lacks a declared winner.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Packers to win the championship under NFL rules, such as being eliminated from playoff contention. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027, ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. The primary resolution source is official information from the NFL, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — The championship game must determine a winner by this date to avoid resolving to Other.
Resolution source
NFL official information, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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