Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
3.05¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.05%
$1.7M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on the official winner of the NFL championship game concluding in early 2027, using official NFL information as the primary source. Participants should note the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to No immediately once Detroit is mathematically eliminated from contention or knocked out of the playoffs. Additionally, if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027, or no winner is crowned by that date, the market resolves to Other.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Detroit Lions will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Detroit Lions to win under NFL rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL is the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Championship resolution cutoff: — Market resolves to Other if the championship game is postponed after this date or no winner is declared
Resolution source
NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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