Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
3.65¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 3.65%
$1.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market resolves based on official NFL information regarding the winner of the championship game concluded before March 31, 2027. Positions in this market can resolve early to No as soon as the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or knocked out during the playoffs. If the championship game is cancelled or delayed beyond the March 31, 2027 cutoff, the market resolves to Other rather than remaining open or voiding.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Denver Broncos will win the 2027 NFL league championship. It includes an early resolution mechanism if the team is eliminated prior to the championship game.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Denver Broncos to win the championship per NFL rules, such as being eliminated in the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027 ET, or if no winner is declared by that time. Official information from the NFL is the primary deciding source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Postponement cutoff date: — Market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed after this date, or has no winner declared.
Resolution source
NFL (with consensus of credible reporting as a secondary source)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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