Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Current price
4.15¢
+0.4¢ · 24h
Implied probability 4.15%
$1.9M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market follows straightforward sports outcome criteria, relying primarily on official NFL information to determine the champion. Holders should note the early resolution clause, which allows the market to resolve to No as soon as the Bengals are mathematically eliminated from championship contention rather than waiting for the final game. Additionally, if the championship game is cancelled, postponed past March 31, 2027, or fails to produce an official winner by that date, the market will resolve to Other rather than waiting indefinitely.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Cincinnati Bengals will win the 2027 NFL league championship.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship. The market resolves to No if it becomes impossible for the Bengals to win the championship under NFL rules, such as elimination during the playoffs. The market resolves to Other if the championship game is cancelled, postponed beyond March 31, 2027 ET, or no winner is declared within that timeframe. Official information from the NFL serves as the primary resolution source, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key dates
- Championship resolution cutoff: — Game must take place and declare a winner by this date to avoid resolving to Other.
Resolution source
NFL or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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