Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules provide clear baseline mechanics, specifying that FDV will be calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch, with a definitive expiration of December 31, 2027. However, the resolution source is defined only as 'the most liquid price source available' without specifying a designated data aggregator, exchange, or liquidity metric. Participants should be aware that determining which trading venue or aggregator represents the most liquid source at that exact timestamp involves interpretive judgement if pricing varies across centralized and decentralized platforms.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Med
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
No order-book snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Abstract's governance token exceeds $3 billion exactly one calendar day after its public launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than $3 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated as the total token supply multiplied by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV does not exceed $3 billion at that time, or if Abstract does not launch a token by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The price is determined by the most liquid price source available.
Key dates
- Token launch deadline: — Market resolves to No if no token launches by this time.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
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