Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
6 live outcomes · highest priced: Mark Carney at >99% · first close Dec 1, 2026 · $407.6K total volume
About this event
This event tracks whether Donald Trump has a qualifying verbal interaction with specific listed individuals between each market's creation and November 30, 2026. Each individual market measures whether Trump speaks with a designated person in person, by phone, or via video call.
How the outcomes relate
Each market focuses on a separate individual. Because Donald Trump can speak to multiple people or none at all during the timeframe, multiple markets can resolve Yes, or all may resolve No.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the listed individual and Donald Trump have a verbal interaction (in person, phone, or video call) between market creation and November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Markets resolve at the earlier of a confirmed qualifying interaction or 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the deadline. If the timing of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by consensus reporting by that final cutoff, the market resolves to No.
Key dates
- End of qualifying timeframe: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Credible media reporting, supplemented by statements from the specified individuals or their official representatives if media reporting is absent or contradictory.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Carney | >99% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Elon Musk | 98% | ±0 | Med | Low | |
| Xi Jinping | 98% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 60% | ▲ 4 | Med | Med | |
| Emmanuel Macron | 60% | ▼ 2 | Med | Low | |
| Andy Burnham | 31% | ▼ 19 | Med | Low | |
| Lula da Silva | 17% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| Nicolás Maduro | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Reza Pahlavi | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Kim Jong Un | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mohammed bin Salman | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Vladimir Putin | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Maria Corina Machado | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Ursula von der Leyen | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mark Rutte | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Friedrich Merz | — | — | Med | Low | Resolved |
| Masoud Pezeshkian | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Pope Leo XIV | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel | — | — | Not rated | — |