Virginia Senate Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Bert Mizusawa (R) at 2% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $23.8K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Virginia U.S. Senate election. Its markets measure which political party or nominee will win the seat, including any run-offs.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for parties and their respective nominees. Because the election determines a single Senate seat winner, only one candidate or party market can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if its designated party's nominee wins the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election (inclusive of run-offs), and No otherwise. A candidate represents a party if they are the official nominee; independent candidates are not covered by Democratic or Republican options. If a named nominee is replaced before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or via official certification if consensus is not reached.
Key dates
- Election year: Year of the midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if all three do not agree)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bert Mizusawa (R) | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Mark Warner (D) | 98% | ±0 | Low | Med |