Vermont Governor Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Phil Scott (R) at 76% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $238.8K total volume
About this event
This event covers the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election. Its markets track which political party's nominee will win the race, with individual markets corresponding to specific party outcomes.
How the outcomes relate
Each market corresponds to a specific political party whose nominee might win the race. Because only one candidate can win the gubernatorial election, at most one party market can resolve Yes. Candidates running as independents are not encompassed by party options, and additional candidates from other parties may be added later.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if the nominee representing that specific party wins the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a named candidate is replaced as the party's nominee prior to election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources do not call the race for the same candidate, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election year: The election year specified in the resolution rules. Date as stated: 2026.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC (or official certification if not called by all three)
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Scott (R) | 76% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Amanda Janoo (D) | 25% | ±0 | Low | High |