Speaker of the House after the midterms?
1 live outcome · highest priced: Ayanna Pressley at 3% · first close Jan 3, 2027 · $165.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will be elected Speaker of the House by the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of candidate-specific markets representing potential individuals who could serve as Speaker. Because the markets resolve based on the first individual elected to the position for the 120th Congress, at most one candidate market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the named individual is the first person elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The primary source for resolution is official information from the United States House of Representatives, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source
Official information from the United States House of Representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayanna Pressley | 3% | — | Low | Med | |
| Hakeem Jeffries | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Katherine Clark | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Pete Aguilar | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Jim Jordan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Steve Scalise | — | — | Low | Low | |
| Mike Johnson | — | — | Low | Med |