Oregon Senate Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Jeff Merkley (D) at 98% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $7.5K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Oregon U.S. Senate election, with individual markets measuring which political party or candidate will win the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent political parties or candidates competing for a single seat in the 2026 Oregon U.S. Senate election. Based on the rules governing the winner of a single election inclusive of run-offs, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if its designated party's nominee wins the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election (inclusive of run-offs), and No otherwise. If a named candidate is replaced as a party's nominee before election day, the market follows the replacement nominee. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate; if they do not all agree, resolution relies on official certification.
Key dates
- Election Year: — The election takes place during the 2026 midterms.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Merkley (D) | 98% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| David Brock Smith (R) | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med |