NY-24 House Election Winner
1 live outcome · highest priced: Alissa Ellman (D) at 2% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $50.2K total volume
About this event
This event tracks which party or candidate will win the New York's 24th Congressional District seat in the U.S. House of Representatives during the 2026 midterm elections. Individual markets measure whether a specific party wins the seat.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent distinct political parties competing for the same congressional district seat. Because a single candidate wins the congressional seat, only one party market can resolve Yes, while the others resolve No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves according to the political party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 House seat in the 2026 midterm elections. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation when all 2026 House races are called; candidates lacking affiliation are classified by their most recently expressed intent to caucus. Resolution is decided by a consensus of credible reporting, with official Federal Election Commission results used if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- 2026 Midterm Elections: — Date the midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the fallback source in case of ambiguity.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alissa Ellman (D) | 2% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Claudia Tenney (R) | 96% | ±0 | Low | High |