Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: No Next Minister by Feb 28 at 38% (+3 pts in 24h) · first close Mar 1, 2027 · $52.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks who will become the next Israeli Minister of Finance in the first government formed after the 2026 Knesset elections. Each market corresponds to a specific potential appointee or an outcome where no qualifying minister takes office by the specified deadline.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent individual candidates alongside a catch-all outcome for no qualifying appointment. Because resolution requires being the first individual to assume office under the qualifying criteria, at most one market outcome can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A candidate's market resolves Yes if they are the first person to assume office as Israeli Minister of Finance (or a qualifying primary successor position) in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. The appointment must be approved by the Knesset via a vote of confidence or subsequent confirmation vote. Interim or caretaker ministers and subsequent replacements do not qualify. If multiple successor positions share the primary portfolio, the appointee whose full name is first alphabetically wins. If no qualifying minister takes office by February 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, 'No Next Minister by Feb 28' resolves Yes.
Key dates
- Resolution Deadline: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Official information from the Government of Israel, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 38% | ▲ 3 | Med | Med | |
| Yaron Zelekha | 6% | ▼ 6 | Med | Low | |
| Bezalel Smotrich | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Nir Barkat | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Yair Lapid | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Avigdor Lieberman | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Shaul Meridor | — | — | Not rated | Low | |
| Eli Cohen | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Orit Farkash-Hacohen | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Naftali Bennett | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Moshe Feiglin | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Yair Golan | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Gadi Eizenkot | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Israel Katz | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| Hili Tropper | — | — | Not rated | — |