ND-AL House Election Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Julie Fedorchak (R) at 97% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $61K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 midterm election for North Dakota's at-large congressional district (ND-AL) seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Markets measure which political party or candidate wins the election.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties or candidates competing for a single congressional seat. Because only one candidate wins the seat, at most one market corresponding to the winning party can resolve Yes, while the other resolves No.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the candidate affiliated with the specified party wins the ND-AL seat in the 2026 midterm elections; otherwise, it resolves to No. Party affiliation is determined by ballot listing or identifiable affiliation, or by the party the candidate most recently expressed intent to caucus with if unaffiliated. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting, or by official results from the Federal Election Commission if ambiguity arises.
Key dates
- Election Day: — Midterm elections take place.
Resolution source
Consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission as the official fallback.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julie Fedorchak (R) | 97% | ±0 | Low | High | |
| Trygve Hammer (D) | 3% | ▲ 1 | Low | Med |