PolymarketEvent2 live of 2 outcomes

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

2 live outcomes · highest priced: Andy Barr (R) at 97% · first close Nov 4, 2026 · $37.4K total volume

About this event

This event tracks the outcome of the 2026 Kentucky U.S. Senate election. Its markets measure which political party or candidate will win the seat, encompassing regular voting and any necessary run-offs.

How the outcomes relate

The event consists of separate markets for competing political parties and their nominees. Because only one candidate or party can win the Senate seat, at most one market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes if the nominee of the specified party wins the 2026 Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs; otherwise, it resolves No. Candidate names may be listed for convenience, but the market tracks the party's nominee even if the individual changes before election day. Independent candidates are not included under party options. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate. If they do not reach consensus, the market resolves according to official certification.

Key dates

  • Election year: The midterm election year specified for the race. Date as stated: 2026.

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or official certification

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Outcomes for Kentucky Senate Election Winner
OutcomePrice24hGotcha riskTradabilityCloses
Andy Barr (R)97%±0LowHigh
Charles Booker (D)3%±0LowHigh

Highest-priced outcome

Andy Barr (R) · 7 daysFlat at 97%