How many Israeli elections before government formed?
1 live outcome · highest priced: 1 at 61% (−5 pts in 24h) · first close Jan 1, 2028 · $308.1K total volume
About this event
This event tracks how many Israeli legislative elections occur before a new government is formed in the Knesset or before the cutoff date at the end of 2027. Each market corresponds to an exact count of general elections held during that period.
How the outcomes relate
Each market evaluates a specific, mutually exclusive count of Israeli legislative elections (such as exactly 0 or exactly 1). Because the markets measure the exact total count of elections that occur prior to government formation or the deadline, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the exact number of Israeli legislative elections specified in its question occurs between market creation and either the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever happens first. Otherwise, it resolves No. An election's occurrence is defined as nationwide general election-day voting across Israel; early voting, special voting mechanisms, and election result publication do not count. A government is considered formed once it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset. Resolution is determined by a consensus of credible reporting.
Key dates
- Cutoff date: — December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
A consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61% | ▼ 5 | Low | Low | |
| 2 | 28% | ▲ 3 | Med | Med | |
| 3 | 7% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| 0 | — | — | Not rated | — | Resolved |
| 4 | — | — | Not rated | — | |
| 5+ | — | — | Not rated | — |