How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
2 live outcomes · highest priced: 5k-10k at 3% · first close Dec 31, 2026 · $264.4K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the total number of individuals who purchase a "Gold Card" (or qualify under a new Trump Administration citizenship/residency-for-payment program) during the calendar year 2026. Markets represent specific numerical range brackets for the total cards sold.
How the outcomes relate
Markets represent mutually exclusive numerical brackets covering the total count of qualifying individuals. Because the brackets segment the total into specific non-overlapping ranges, at most one market can resolve Yes. If a reported value falls exactly between two brackets, the rules specify it resolves to the higher range bracket.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the final number of individuals who purchase a Gold Card between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET falls within its specified numerical bracket; otherwise, it resolves No. Qualifying individuals include participants in any new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration referred to as a Gold Card or offering legal status/citizenship for payments or investment. Official information from the Trump Administration decides the outcome, with a consensus of credible reporting used as a fallback if official numbers are not published by the deadline.
Key dates
- Program creation reference date: — Qualifying programs must be created after this date.
- Tracking start date: — Start of the tracking period for Gold Card sales.
- Tracking end date and reporting deadline: — End of the tracking period at 11:59 PM ET, as well as the deadline for official publication before relying on consensus reporting.
Resolution source
Official information from the Trump Administration, or a consensus of credible reporting if not published by the deadline.
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5k-10k | 3% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| 25k-100k | 1% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| 2.5k-5k | 4% | ±0 | Med | Med | |
| 1-100 | — | — | Not rated | Low | |
| 101-1k | — | — | Not rated | Med | |
| 1k-2.5k | — | — | Not rated | Low | |
| 10k-25k | — | — | Not rated | High | |
| >100k | — | — | Not rated | Med |