2028 Presidential Election: Virginia Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 85% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $7.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in the state of Virginia. Markets measure which political party's candidate will secure the highest number of valid statewide votes in Virginia.
How the outcomes relate
The event consists of individual markets for political parties. Based on the rules, the market resolves according to whichever party's candidate wins the most statewide votes, meaning at most one party market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves to Yes if its party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes in Virginia in the 2028 presidential election; otherwise, it resolves to No. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not call the race or reach a consensus, resolution will rely on the official certified results reported by the state government. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
- Definitive Determination Deadline: — At 11:59 PM ET, if results are not definitively determined, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results reported by the state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 85% | ±0 | Low | Med | |
| Republican Party | 14% | ±0 | Low | Med |