2028 Presidential Election: Texas Winner

This event tracks which political party or candidate will win the most statewide votes in Texas in the 2028 US Presidential Election. Individual markets represent political parties contending to win the state's popular vote.

How the outcomes relate

The event is structured with one market per political party. Because resolution is based on the single candidate who wins the most valid statewide votes, at most one party market can resolve Yes.

How it resolves

A market resolves Yes if its party's nominee (or named candidate) receives the most valid statewide votes in Texas in the 2028 presidential election, regardless of electoral college distribution. Markets resolve early if the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these sources do not reach consensus or do not make statewide calls, certified election results from the state government determine the winner. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".

Key dates

• Expected Election Day: Nov 7, 2028 — Date the 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place.
• Resolution Deadline: Dec 31, 2029 — Deadline at 11:59 PM ET by which results must be determined, or the market resolves to "Other".

Resolution source

Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, and certified statewide results reported by the state government

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 1 Nov 2026, 00:31 UTC