2028 Presidential Election: Hawaii Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 90% · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $437.4 total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in Hawaii, measuring which political party's presidential nominee will win the most valid statewide votes.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains one market per political party. Because resolution is based on the party of the single candidate who wins the most statewide votes in Hawaii, at most one market can resolve Yes.
How it resolves
A market resolves Yes if the presidential nominee of the specified party wins the most valid statewide votes in Hawaii in the 2028 US Presidential Election. It resolves No otherwise. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all concurrently call the state for the same candidate. If these news organizations do not reach consensus or do not make statewide calls, resolution relies on the certified election results reported by the state government. If results cannot be definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on this date.
- Resolution Deadline: — 11:59 PM ET; deadline by which results must be definitively determined.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results from the state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 90% | — | Low | Low | |
| Republican Party | 9% | — | Low | Med |