2028 Presidential Election: Arizona Winner
2 live outcomes · highest priced: Democratic Party at 64% (−1 pts in 24h) · first close Nov 8, 2028 · $5.3K total volume
About this event
This event tracks the outcome of the 2028 US Presidential Election in the state of Arizona, measuring which political party's nominee wins the most valid statewide votes.
How the outcomes relate
The event contains markets representing different political parties. Because resolution is based on the party whose nominee wins the plurality of statewide votes in Arizona, at most one market can resolve Yes. If statewide results cannot be definitively determined by the deadline, the market resolves to Other.
How it resolves
Each market resolves to Yes if the nominee representing that party wins the most valid statewide votes in Arizona in the 2028 Presidential Election, regardless of the subsequent electoral college vote allocation. Resolution occurs once the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC have concurrently called the state for the same candidate. If these sources lack consensus or fail to make a call, resolution relies on certified results from the state government. If results are not definitively determined by December 31, 2029, at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to Other.
Key dates
- Expected Election Day: — The 2028 Presidential Election is expected to take place on this date.
- Resolution Deadline: — Market resolves to Other if results are not definitively determined by 11:59 PM ET on this date.
Resolution source
Associated Press, Fox News, NBC, or certified results reported by the state government
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
| Outcome | Price | 24h | Gotcha risk | Tradability | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 64% | ▼ 1 | Low | Med | |
| Republican Party | 34% | ±0 | Low | Med |