Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$51.9K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The market relies on a clear, named official source, specifically Spotify's annual Wrapped announcement identifying the platform's most streamed artist of 2026. The criteria are direct and objective, leaving minimal room for subjective interpretation. A concrete deadline of January 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET is provided alongside a clear fallback resolution mechanism in the event that Spotify does not publish its annual top artist list. Participants face minimal structural or procedural uncertainty.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Chappell Roan will be listed as Spotify's most streamed artist for the year 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Spotify officially names Chappell Roan as its top artist for 2026. The market resolves to No if Spotify names any other artist as its top artist for 2026. The market resolves to Other if Spotify does not release who its top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped, decides the outcome.
Key dates
- Spotify report release deadline: — If Spotify does not announce its top artist for 2026 by this deadline, the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from Spotify
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