Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?
Last captured price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$119.7K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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This market clearly defines 'top artist' as the most streamed artist globally on Spotify for 2026 according to official Spotify announcements, typically published in their annual Wrapped release. Resolution relies directly on official figures from a single named entity (Spotify). There is a specific fallback deadline specifying that if Spotify fails to release the data by January 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Kendrick Lamar will be Spotify's most streamed artist globally for the year 2026. The market's resolution is unusual because it depends on an annual report that is typically released at the end of the year.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Spotify officially names Kendrick Lamar as its top artist globally for the year 2026. The market resolves No if Spotify officially names any artist other than Kendrick Lamar as its top artist globally for the year 2026. The market resolves Other if Spotify does not release the name of its top artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution is determined by official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Key dates
- Resolution Deadline: — If Spotify has not released its top artist for 2026 by this date, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Resolution source
official information from Spotify
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