Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?
Current price
0.15¢
±0¢ · 24h
Implied probability 0.15%
$120.3K total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules clearly define the metric as Spotify's official announcement of its most-streamed artist globally for 2026, typically published during its annual Wrapped campaign. A clear resolution source and an objective benchmark are provided, alongside a definitive fallback deadline of January 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET if no announcement is made. There is minimal room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Moderate book at the daily check: a spread over 1¢, or less than $50K within 5¢ of the mid. Larger orders may move the price, so check the book before sizing.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sabrina Carpenter will be named Spotify's most streamed artist globally for the year 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Spotify names Sabrina Carpenter as its top streamed artist for 2026. The market resolves to No if Spotify names a different artist as its top streamed artist for 2026. The market resolves to Other if Spotify does not release its top artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is decided by official information released by Spotify, typically published as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Key dates
- Resolution deadline: — Deadline for Spotify to release its top artist of 2026 before the market resolves to Other.
Resolution source
Official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped
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