XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Medium gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
The market is evaluated strictly against a specific exchange pair and candle timeframe—Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candles—rather than broader market-wide all-time high figures from other spot exchanges or historical data predating that pair's listing on Binance. The rule text introduces a specific start window on December 16, 2025, though it omits AM or PM for the 11:30 start time, while the end window aligns with 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. The resolution mechanism relies entirely on Binance candle data at a specified web address, leaving little room for decider interpretation, but participants should note that a new price record on other exchanges will not count if it does not exceed the Binance pair's specific historical candle highs during the defined evaluation window.
- Wording ambiguity
- Med
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Med
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether XRP reaches a new all-time high price on Binance by September 30, 2026. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle high prices rather than other exchanges or spot data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT between December 16, 2025 at 11:30 and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET records a final High price higher than any prior Binance 1-minute candle High price on any earlier date. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle exceeds the prior all-time high during this period. Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data serves as the sole deciding source, and price data from other sources or spot markets is disregarded.
Key dates
- Tracking start: — 16 December '25 11:30
- Tracking end: — 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT between 16 December '25 11:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.