Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
Outcome
No
Polymarket resolved this market to No.
No price before the listed close date
- 7 days before
- 24 hours before
- 1 hour before
Counted back from the listed close date, ; price capture stops 6 hours after it. Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
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The rules establish clear, objective resolution criteria tied directly to a single named data source: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle high prices. Resolution does not rely on subjective evaluation or broad consensus reporting. Anyone participating should note that this market exclusively tracks the specified Binance trading pair, meaning a record high recorded on other exchanges or aggregated price indices will not qualify unless Binance's 1-minute candle high also surpasses its own historical record within the defined time window.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before the listed close date.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) reaches a new all-time high by September 30, 2026. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices recorded on Binance rather than broader aggregate market data.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT between December 16, 2025 at 10:30 and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET records a final High price higher than any previous Binance 1-minute candle High price on any prior date. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle surpasses the prior all-time high within that window. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data is the sole deciding source; price data from other exchanges or spot markets is disregarded.
Key dates
- Measurement window start: — 10:30
- Measurement window end: — 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.