Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Current price
8.45¢
−0.2¢ · 24h
Implied probability 8.45%
$3.2M total volume · YES/NO
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk — resolution-rule assessment
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The resolution rules provide precise and objective conditions tied directly to a single, named source. Outcome determination relies strictly on the final low price of any one-minute candle on Binance's ETH/USDT trading pair within a clearly defined time window in Eastern Time. If the price reaches or falls below the specified $1,500 threshold at any point during this period, the market resolves immediately to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No after the final deadline. Position holders should be aware that price action on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not count.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
Liquidity
Deep book at the daily check: a spread of 1¢ or less and at least $50K of orders within 5¢ of the mid.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Rules history
Rules history is not displayed yet.
Market explained
This market measures whether the price of Ethereum (ETH/USDT) drops to $1,500 or lower on Binance between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
How it resolves
The market resolves immediately to Yes if any Binance one-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair between November 24, 2025, 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final Low price of $1,500 or lower. The market resolves to No if no one-minute candle meets this condition by the end of the specified period. Resolution is decided strictly using Binance ETH/USDT one-minute candle data, disregarding prices from all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- Start tracking period: — Tracking of Binance 1-minute ETH/USDT candles begins.
- End tracking period: — Tracking ends and market resolves to No if the threshold was not reached.
Resolution source
Binance
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
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