Game Spread: Mirra Andreeva (-2.5) vs Karolina Muchova (+2.5)
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly defines game spread calculation across all sets, including specific scoring rules for standard tiebreaks and match tiebreaks.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly defines game spread calculation across all sets, including specific scoring rules for standard tiebreaks and match tiebreaks. It includes precise fallback terms for retirements, defaults, walkovers, and postponements beyond 14 days, explicitly detailing when an unconditionally determined result takes precedence over a 50-50 split. Official WTA Tour data serves as the primary resolution source.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
50%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva" if Mirra Andreeva wins 2.5 or more total games than Karolina Muchova in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Mirra Andreeva could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Mirra Andreeva covers a -2.5 game spread against Karolina Muchova in their scheduled tennis match. Unusual rules include specific handling of tiebreaks as single games, and 50-50 resolution for walkovers, cancellations, or incomplete matches unless the spread outcome was already unconditionally determined.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Mirra Andreeva if she wins 2.5 or more total games than Karolina Muchova across all sets played. Sets decided by a tiebreak or match tiebreak count as one game for the winner. The market resolves to Karolina Muchova if Andreeva does not win by at least 2.5 games. The market resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a walkover, or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion. If the match is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, it resolves 50-50 unless the spread outcome was already unconditionally determined. The WTA Tour serves as the primary resolution source, with credible reporting as a secondary source.
Resolution source
WTA Tour
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·