brierpoınt
CryptoCloses · in 3 days$125.3 volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 17? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 17?

Trade on Polymarket ↗Referral link

Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The resolution rules clearly define the exact timestamp, target price threshold, exchange, and trading pair.

Read the full assessment

The resolution rules clearly define the exact timestamp, target price threshold, exchange, and trading pair. Resolution relies strictly on the close price of the 1-minute candle on Binance at 12:00 PM ET on November 17, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

<1%

chance

▼ −6.15 pts · 24h

Yes<1¢
No>99¢
78,000 · Yes · 1MO 11.5 H 15.5 L 0.6 C 0.8−10.7 (−92.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −10 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 16:25 UTC

The market fell from 14% to 3% as Bitcoin dropped 3.43% over 24 hours on Binance, falling 8.77% below the $78,000 threshold and making reaching that level less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 21:00 UTC, 25% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.4% in the move hour, −3.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 5 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: 72,000 (up), 74,000 (up), 76,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $78,000 on November 17, 2026. Resolution is tied specifically to the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon ET rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 17 has a final Close price strictly higher than $78,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or lower than $78,000. Binance BTC/USDT candle data is the sole deciding source, and prices from other exchanges or pairs are disregarded. Price precision follows the decimal places provided by the source.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·