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CryptoCloses · in 3 days$508.1 volumePart of: Bitcoin above ___ on November 17? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 17?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules provide a precise, objective resolution standard.

Read the full assessment

The rules provide a precise, objective resolution standard. Resolution relies on a single named source and exact data point: the final Close price of the 1-minute BTC/USDT candle closing at 12:00 PM Eastern Time on November 17 on Binance. The specific URL, chart interval, trading pair, and timezone are clearly defined, leaving no room for decider discretion or ambiguous interpretation.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

2%

chance

▼ −18.65 pts · 24h

Yes2¢
No98¢
76,000 · Yes · 1MO 25.0 H 34.0 L 1.4 C 1.9−23.1 (−92.6%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −20 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 11:40 UTC

The market price fell from 28% to 10% as Bitcoin slipped 0.39% on Binance during the move hour, making reaching above $76,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 21:00 UTC, 35% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.4% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 5 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: 72,000 (up), 74,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 16:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin exceeds $76,000 on November 17, 2026. Resolution is based strictly on a single 1-minute candle on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair rather than a broad market index or continuous price check.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 17, 2026, has a final Close price strictly higher than $76,000. It resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $76,000. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source. Only the Binance BTC/USDT pair is considered; other exchanges and trading pairs are excluded. Resolution is determined using data from Binance.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·