Big Game: Coin Toss
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market features clear and straightforward resolution mechanics for an unambiguous binary event.
Read the full assessment
This market features clear and straightforward resolution mechanics for an unambiguous binary event. The outcome depends directly on the result of the official opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI as shown on the official broadcast, with credible reporting as a secondary backup. Re-flips are explicitly addressed to ensure only the toss determining possession or goal choice counts, and an objective deadline handles any cancellation or prolonged postponement by resolving to 50-50.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
50%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Heads” if the opening coin toss lands on heads at Super Bowl LXI. This market will resolve to “Tails” if the opening coin toss lands on Tails. If Super Bowl LXI is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no coin toss outcome determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. In the event of a re-flip, this market will resolve based on the coin toss result that determines which team chooses to defer or receive possession or to choose a goal to defend. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market explained
This market measures the result of the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI. It includes a specific provision to resolve 50-50 if the game is cancelled or postponed beyond the stated deadline.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Heads if the opening coin toss at Super Bowl LXI lands on heads. It resolves to Tails if the opening coin toss lands on tails. In the event of a re-flip, resolution is based on the result that determines which team chooses to defer, receive possession, or pick a goal to defend. The market resolves to 50-50 if Super Bowl LXI is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, or if no coin toss outcome is determined by that time. The primary resolution source is the official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source
The official broadcast of Super Bowl LXI, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·