Will "Public Service Announcement" be played first at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market resolves based on the first song played during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, defined as a performer singing at least some of the lyrics.
Read the full assessment
This market resolves based on the first song played during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, defined as a performer singing at least some of the lyrics. Potential ambiguity arises around medleys, intro samples, or instrumental backing tracks, as resolution requires distinguishing whether vocal snippets or spoken words count as singing lyrics of a specified song. Resolution relies on direct video footage combined with a consensus of credible reporting rather than a single official setlist authority, leaving some room for interpretation if the opening sequence blends multiple tracks.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
31%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the first song played by any performer during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, currently scheduled for February 14, 2027. To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event. If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether "Public Service Announcement" will be the first song performed during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show in 2027.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if "Public Service Announcement" is the first song played during the Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show, requiring a performer to sing at least some of its lyrics. The market resolves to No if another song is played first. The market resolves to Other if the event is cancelled or delayed beyond March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is determined primarily using footage of the halftime show, supplemented by a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Footage of the Super Bowl LXI halftime show, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·