Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by March 31, 2027?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at 12 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
$489.1K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close: Not captured
24 hours before close: 27¢
1 hour before close: >99¢

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules clearly specify what constitutes a qualifying announcement, detailing who must make it (Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or authorized representatives) and setting an explicit constraint that the planned departure must be effective within 18 months of the announcement. Comprehensive carve-outs address temporary leaves, conditional statements, unsanctioned media leaks, and terms of office. Official corporate communications serve as the primary source, with consensus reporting acting strictly as a secondary fallback.

Wording ambiguity: Low
Source discretion: Low
Timing risk: Low
Exceptional clauses: Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 10 Nov 2026, 03:30 UTC

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price

24h7dAll

Why it moved before close

Up 72 points · 11 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC

Related outcomes

The price rose from 21% to 100%, moving alongside 1 related market for the December 31, 2026 outcome which also trended up, indicating the shift was part of related outcomes repricing together.

Largest hourly change: 16:00 UTC, 43% of the net 24-hour change.
Closes 140 days after the move hour.
1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: December 31, 2026 (up).

No news-backed explanation was ready before close.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether Jensen Huang's departure as CEO of NVIDIA—via resignation or removal—is officially announced by March 31, 2027.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or authorized representatives officially announce Huang's resignation or removal as CEO by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, with departure intended within 18 months. Resignation includes stepping down or taking another NVIDIA role, and removal includes dismissal by the Board. If he ceases to hold the position early without prior announcement via qualifying resignation or removal, it also resolves to Yes. The market resolves to No if no qualifying announcement occurs, if he departs by other means, or if announcements involve temporary leaves, suspensions, conditional statements, or unaccepted resignation offers. Resolution relies on official statements from Huang or NVIDIA, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Key dates

Resolution deadline: Mar 31, 2027 — Announcement must occur by 11:59 PM ET on this date.

Resolution source

Official information from Jensen Huang and NVIDIA, or a consensus of credible reporting

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash · 10 Nov 2026, 03:30 UTC

Resolution rules at close

Captured Nov 9, 2026

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed, as CEO of NVIDIA. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position; resignation includes retiring or stepping down as CEO, including to take another role at NVIDIA, and removal includes dismissal or termination by NVIDIA’s Board of Directors. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure through resignation or removal intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term through such a departure without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a qualifying resignation or removal occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. If the specified person ceases to hold the specified position by any other means, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Jensen Huang and NVIDIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.