Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?
Gotcha risk
Low1 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: This market clearly defines what qualifies for a positive outcome: Extended must officially launch a governance token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable before the deadline, explicitly excluding mere announcements.
Read the full assessment
This market clearly defines what qualifies for a positive outcome: Extended must officially launch a governance token that is actively and publicly transferable and tradable before the deadline, explicitly excluding mere announcements. The resolution date and time zone are precise. While the resolution criteria allow for a consensus of credible reporting alongside official project communications from their linked account, the conditions for token transferability are objective and straightforward to verify.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
96%
chanceWhy it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Extended, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market explained
This market measures whether Extended officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2026. Resolution requires the token to be actively and publicly transferable and tradable, meaning mere announcements are insufficient.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if Extended officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable; announcements alone do not qualify. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The primary resolution source will be information directly from Extended, alongside a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution source
Information from Extended or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·