Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Gotcha risk
Medium2 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly specify the timing timestamp (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch) and a long-stop expiration date of December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly specify the timing timestamp (4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch) and a long-stop expiration date of December 31, 2026. However, the resolution source is vaguely designated as the most liquid price source available without naming a specific exchange, aggregator, or price metric (such as a 1-minute candle, spot price, or TWAP). Determining which venue is the most liquid and what the exact total supply is at that exact moment introduces decider discretion and potential price variation across platforms.
- Resolver
- Medium
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Medium
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Last captured price
1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market explained
This market measures whether the Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of Hyperbeat's token exceeds $300M exactly one day after its launch.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeat's token is greater than $300M at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. A launch requires the token to be actively, publicly transferable and tradable. FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The market resolves to No if the FDV is not above $300M at that time, or if Hyperbeat does not launch a token by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Token pricing is determined by the most liquid price source available.
Resolution source
The most liquid price source available
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·