Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 November 9-15?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The market rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution.
Read the full assessment
The market rules provide clear and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome relies solely on a single, explicitly defined public source (the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart Low metric) over an exact time window (12:00 AM ET on November 9 to 11:59 PM ET on November 15). It includes an explicit early-resolution trigger if the price hits or falls below $1,500 at any point during that period, and defaults to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion or ambiguity regarding which exchange or trading pair is evaluated.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance▲ +0.1 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Market explained
This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches or falls below $1,500 on Binance between November 9 and November 15.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair between November 9 at 12:00 AM ET and November 15 at 11:59 PM ET records a final Low price equal to or less than $1,500. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. The resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data; prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs do not count.
Resolution source
Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·