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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Ethereum hit November 9-15? →

Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 November 9-15?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close 79¢
Known at
$23.8K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

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The rules provide precise and objective criteria for resolution. The outcome is tied directly to a single named exchange and pair (Binance ETH/USDT) using a specific candle interval (1-minute final low price) across a clearly defined timezone window (ET). The market resolves immediately to Yes if the price touches or falls below $2,000, and otherwise resolves to No at the end of the specified timeframe, leaving virtually no room for decider discretion or ambiguous readings.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢13:2121:2005:1813:16
20¢40¢60¢80¢100¢Nov 11Nov 11Nov 12Nov 12
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢Nov 12Nov 12Nov 12Nov 12

Why it moved before close

Up 22 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price rose from 59% to 83% as Ethereum traded within -2.18% of the $2,000 threshold on Binance, making a dip to $2,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 97% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.0% in the move hour, −0.6% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 12:20 UTC

Down 11 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market price dropped from 66% to 55% as Ethereum rose 1.0% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $2,000 less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.0% in the move hour, −0.4% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC

Down 15 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The probability of Ethereum dipping to $2,000 fell from 67% to 52%. Ethereum rose 1% on Binance during the hour of the move, making a dip to the target level less likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, larger than the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +1.0% in the move hour, +0.3% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 00:50 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Ethereum dips to $2,000 or lower on Binance between November 9 and November 15.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any Binance 1-minute candle for the ETH/USDT pair has a final Low price equal to or lower than $2,000 between 12:00 AM ET on November 9 and 11:59 PM ET on November 15. Otherwise, the market resolves to No. Resolution is determined solely using 1-minute candle data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, spot markets, or different trading pairs are not considered.

Key dates

  • Start time: — 12:00 AM ET on November 9
  • End time: — 11:59 PM ET on November 15

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle chart

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.