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PolymarketResolvedOutcome: YesClosed Part of What price will Bitcoin hit November 9-15? →

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 November 9-15?

Outcome

Yes

Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.

Final Yes price before close >99¢
Known at
$61.1K total volume

Yes price before close

7 days before close
Not captured
24 hours before close
1 hour before close

Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.

Low gotcha risk

Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment

Show full assessmentShow less

This market features clear, objective criteria with very little ambiguity. Resolution relies strictly on a single specified data feed: the 1-minute candle Low prices for BTC/USDT on Binance during a precisely defined Eastern Time window. Early resolution occurs immediately if the price threshold of $70,000 or lower is touched, and the market defaults to No otherwise. There is no decider discretion or reliance on subjective external reports.

Wording ambiguity
Low
Source discretion
Low
Timing risk
Low
Exceptional clauses
Low

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Price history range

Price path to close

Yes price
0¢50¢100¢03:0611:0519:0303:02
0¢50¢100¢Nov 11Nov 11Nov 12Nov 13
0¢50¢100¢Nov 12Nov 12Nov 12Nov 13

Why it moved before close

Up 60 points · 12 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Coin price

The market rose from 20% to 76% as Bitcoin fell 0.69% on Binance during the move hour, making a dip to $70,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 11:00 UTC, 83% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.7% in the move hour, −1.2% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 3 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,000 (up), ↓ 68,000 (up), ↓ 66,000 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 02:40 UTC

Down 11 points · 12 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC

Related outcomes

The price fell from 27% to 16% as part of a broader repricing across 4 related market outcomes moving in the same direction, making a dip to $70,000 less expected.

  • Largest hourly change: 01:00 UTC, 57% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −0.5% in the move hour, +0.1% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 3 days after the move hour.
  • 4 related outcomes moved in the same window, 4 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,000 (down), ↑ 76,000 (down), ↓ 68,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 02:35 UTC

Down 11 points · 11 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC

Coin price

The market dropped from 25% to 14%. Bitcoin rose 0.57% on Binance during the move hour, moving further above the threshold and making a dip to $70,000 less likely, the likely driver of the decline.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 41% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): +0.6% in the move hour, +0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 4 days after the move hour.
  • 3 related outcomes moved in the same window, 2 in the same direction. Largest: ↓ 72,000 (down), ↑ 78,000 (up), ↓ 66,000 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 00:50 UTC

Market explained before close

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $70,000 or lower between November 9 and November 15.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes immediately if any 1-minute Binance candle for BTC/USDT has a final Low price of $70,000 or lower between November 9 at 12:00 AM ET and November 15 at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle reaches or dips below this price during the specified window. Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Low price data is the sole decider; prices from other exchanges, pairs, or spot markets are disregarded.

Key dates

  • Start of monitoring window: — Monitoring begins at 12:00 AM ET.
  • End of monitoring window: — Monitoring ends at 11:59 PM ET.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1m candle data

AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Resolution rules at close

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

About this page

A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.