Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
The resolution rules clearly define what constitutes an official announcement of resignation or removal, explicitly including stepping down to take another role at the company or being dismissed by the board. Specific boundaries are set, such as requiring any announced departure to take effect within 18 months, and explicitly excluding temporary leaves, pending offers, conditional statements, and jokes. Official statements from Jensen Huang or NVIDIA serve as the primary source, though credible reporting consensus is available as a fallback. A departure due to death or incapacitation without a formal resignation or removal announcement would resolve to No.
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
The price rose sharply from 17% to 100%, but there is insufficient evidence available to identify a likely driver for the move.
No news-backed explanation was ready before close.
AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC
This market measures whether Jensen Huang's departure (resignation or removal) as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or authorized representatives officially announce by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed within 18 months, including retiring, stepping down to take another role at NVIDIA, or being dismissed by the Board of Directors. Yes also occurs if he formally departs via resignation or removal before term end without a prior announcement. Temporary leaves, suspensions, conditional statements, unaccepted resignation offers, and media rumors do not qualify. Otherwise, the market resolves to No, including if he ceases to hold the position by any other means. The primary resolution sources are official information from Jensen Huang and NVIDIA, with a consensus of credible reporting also permitted.
Official information from Jensen Huang and NVIDIA, or a consensus of credible reporting
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang’s departure through resignation or removal as CEO of NVIDIA is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Jensen Huang, NVIDIA, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Huang has resigned or been removed, or will resign or be removed, as CEO of NVIDIA. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position; resignation includes retiring or stepping down as CEO, including to take another role at NVIDIA, and removal includes dismissal or termination by NVIDIA’s Board of Directors. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure through resignation or removal intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term through such a departure without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a qualifying resignation or removal occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. If the specified person ceases to hold the specified position by any other means, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Jensen Huang and NVIDIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.