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CryptoCloses · in 1 day$2.3K volumePart of: Ethereum above ___ on November 15? →

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 15?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market has exceptionally clear and programmatic resolution criteria. It identifies an exact timestamp down to the specific 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15, a designated trading pair (ETH/USDT), and a specific source platform (Binance) with explicit UI settings to view the data. There is no ambiguity in the metric or threshold, and resolution relies entirely on an objective, verifiable data point with zero decider discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

96%

chance

▼ −2.15 pts · 24h

Yes96¢
No4¢
1,800 · Yes · 1MO 97.3 H 99.4 L 88.2 C 96.0−1.2 (−1.2%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −10 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 06:10 UTC

The market price fell from 98% to 88%. Ethereum dropped 2.8% on Binance during the move hour and fell 6.5% over 24 hours, pulling it below the $1,800 threshold and acting as the likely driver.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 71% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −2.8% in the move hour, −6.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 45 hours after the move hour.
  • 1 related outcome moved in the same window, 1 in the same direction. Largest: 1,700 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 06:21 UTC

Earlier

▲ +28 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 09:10 UTCThe market price rose from 70% to 98% as the November 15 close approached, with the move reflecting time decay as the contract settled toward its likely outcome.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 09:21 UTC

Earlier

▼ −27 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 09:10 UTCThe market probability fell from 97% to 70% amid thin order-book liquidity, with zero depth within 5 cents of the price and a wide spread of nearly 60 percentage points acting as the likely driver.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 09:20 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the Ethereum price exceeds $1,800 on November 15. Resolution is specifically tied to the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 15 has a final Close price strictly higher than $1,800. The market resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $1,800. Resolution relies exclusively on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle data, disregarding other exchanges or trading pairs, with precision matching the source.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1m candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·