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CryptoCloses · in 1 day$2.4K volumePart of: Bitcoin price on November 15? →

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $66,000 on November 15?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and deterministic resolution criteria. It relies on a specific, named primary data feed: the final close price of the 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance at precisely 12:00 PM ET on November 15. The designated exchange, pair, timeframe, and timestamp are clearly defined, leaving virtually no room for subjective interpretation or administrative discretion.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

8%

chance

▲ +6.25 pts · 24h

Yes8¢
No92¢
<66,000 · Yes · 1MO 1.8 H 29.8 L 1.4 C 7.8+6.0 (+333.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▲ +11 pts24h · detected 13 Nov 2026, 04:55 UTC

The price rose from 2% to 13% as Bitcoin fell 1.8% in the hour on Binance (and 6.5% over 24 hours), making a drop below $66,000 more likely.

  • Largest hourly change: 03:00 UTC, 80% of the net 24-hour change.
  • BTC (Binance): −1.8% in the move hour, −6.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 45 hours after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 13 Nov 2026, 05:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin is below $66,000 at a specific minute on November 15, based exclusively on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle rather than an aggregate index or other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the final Close price of the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 15 is less than $66,000. If the value falls exactly between two brackets, it resolves to the higher range bracket. The market resolves to No if the price is $66,000 or higher, or if the specified candle data is otherwise unavailable. The deciding source is the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle chart.

Resolution source

Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle Close price

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·