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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$1.6K volumePart of: XRP above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria.

Read the full assessment

This market has very specific and objective resolution criteria. It identifies an exact resolution source—Binance's XRP/USDT trading pair—and points to a single 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14. Resolution strictly depends on whether the 'Close' price of that exact candle exceeds $1.10, leaving almost no room for discretion or interpretive dispute.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

5%

chance

▼ −9.55 pts · 24h

Yes5¢
No95¢
1.10 · Yes · 1MO 57.0 H 58.0 L 2.1 C 5.0−52.0 (−91.3%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −20 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 03:25 UTC

The probability of XRP being above $1.10 fell from 27% to 7%. With XRP trading roughly 4.7% below the $1.10 target, time decay ahead of the approaching deadline was the likely driver as the market settled toward a negative outcome.

  • Largest hourly change: 15:00 UTC, 58% of the net 24-hour change.
  • XRP (Binance): +1.5% in the move hour, −0.7% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 15:35 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether the price of XRP exceeds $1.10 at a specific minute on November 14. It resolves strictly using the XRP/USDT 1-minute candle on Binance at noon Eastern Time, rather than general daily highs or data from other exchanges.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance 1-minute candle for XRP/USDT closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $1.10. The market resolves to No if the Close price is less than or equal to $1.10. Prices from other exchanges or other trading pairs are not considered. Price precision matches the number of decimal places provided by the source. Resolution is determined directly from Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle data.

Resolution source

Binance

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·