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CryptoCloses · in 14 hours$5.4K volumePart of: Ethereum above ___ on November 14? →

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 14?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics.

Read the full assessment

This market features clear and unambiguous resolution mechanics. It relies on a single named exchange source and a specific trading pair, Binance ETH/USDT. The resolution timestamp and metric are precisely defined down to the exact 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET on November 14. There are no discretionary judgment calls, fallback complexities, or unusual exceptions.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

1%

chance

▼ −23 pts · 24h

Yes1¢
No99¢
2,100 · Yes · 1MO 61.0 H 65.0 L 1.0 C 1.0−60.0 (−98.4%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −30 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 04:40 UTC

The market fell from 38% to 10% alongside simultaneous moves in 2 related markets for other price thresholds, which were likely drivers of the repricing.

  • Largest hourly change: 17:00 UTC, 73% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): +0.7% in the move hour, −0.5% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 2 days after the move hour.
  • 2 related outcomes moved in the same window, 0 in the same direction. Largest: 2,000 (up), 1,800 (up).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 17:05 UTC

Earlier

▲ +21 pts · 11 Nov 2026, 15:55 UTCThe market price rose from 28% to 47% as Ethereum gained 1% on Binance in the move hour, making it more likely to stay above $2,100.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 11 Nov 2026, 17:50 UTC

Earlier

▼ −38 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 12:25 UTCThe price dropped from 58% to 27%, but with Ethereum rising 0.9% on Binance in the hour of the move and no news available, available evidence does not support a clear driver.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum's price exceeds $2,100 on November 14. Resolution is uniquely tied to a specific 1-minute candle on Binance rather than a daily average or composite index.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing at 12:00 PM ET (noon) on November 14 has a final Close price strictly higher than $2,100. The market resolves to No if the Close price is equal to or less than $2,100. Price precision follows the decimal places reported by the source. Only the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair is considered; other exchanges and pairs are excluded. Resolution is determined by data from Binance.

Resolution source

Binance ETH/USDT 1m candle data

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·