Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define how resolution is determined using the Bloomberg Billionaires Index ranking at a specific timestamp on December 31, 2026.
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define how resolution is determined using the Bloomberg Billionaires Index ranking at a specific timestamp on December 31, 2026. Explicit fallback procedures are established in case of data delays, designating the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List as a secondary source and setting a definitive cutoff date of January 2, 2027, to resolve using the latest available Bloomberg data.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
No price snapshots have been captured for this market’s primary token.
Not enough price history for this range yet.
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Market explained
This market measures whether Sergey Brin will be ranked as the wealthiest individual on December 31, 2026, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The market has specific fallback rules if the primary source's data is unavailable by certain deadlines.
How it resolves
This market resolves Yes if Sergey Brin is ranked as the richest person on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET. The market resolves No if Sergey Brin is not ranked as the richest person by this source and time. If the Bloomberg Billionaires Index data for December 31, 2026, is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used. If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The Bloomberg Billionaires Index is the primary resolution source.
Resolution source
Bloomberg Billionaires Index
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·