Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
Gotcha risk
Low0 of 4 factors flagged
Watch for: The rules clearly define resolution based on who holds the number one rank on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at an exact date and time (December 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET).
Read the full assessment
The rules clearly define resolution based on who holds the number one rank on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at an exact date and time (December 31, 2026, at 5:30 PM ET). Direct URLs are provided for the primary index and a named backup source (Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List), with precise deadlines detailing when the fallback mechanisms activate if primary data is unavailable.
- Resolver
- Low
- Timing
- Low
- Wording
- Low
- Exceptions
- Low
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Current price
<1%
chance↔ ±0 pts · 24h
Why it moved
No big moves in the last 7 days.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Market explained
This market measures whether Jensen Huang is ranked as the wealthiest individual on a specific date according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, with a fallback to Forbes if the primary source is unavailable.
How it resolves
The market resolves Yes if Jensen Huang is ranked as the richest person (#1) on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. This ranking must be for December 31, 2026, and published by 5:30 PM ET on that date. The market resolves No if Jensen Huang is not ranked as the richest person (#1) on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index for the specified date and time. If the Bloomberg Billionaires Index data for December 31, 2026, is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used. If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves based on the latest available data point on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The resolution is determined by the named sources.
Resolution source
Bloomberg Billionaires Index
AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-2.5-flash ·