Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Outcome
Yes
Polymarket resolved this market to Yes.
Yes price before close
- 7 days before close
- Not captured
- 24 hours before close
- 1 hour before close
Midpoint prices known at each point; implied probability in cents. Times in UTC.
Low gotcha risk
Gotcha risk at close — resolution-rule assessment
Show less
This market has very precise and objective resolution criteria. It identifies an exact data source (Binance BTC/USDT), the exact metric (the Low price on the 1-minute chart), and an explicit cutoff timestamp (11:59 PM ET on the final day of November). It clearly excludes other exchanges and pre-creation price action, leaving virtually no room for interpretation or decider discretion.
- Wording ambiguity
- Low
- Source discretion
- Low
- Timing risk
- Low
- Exceptional clauses
- Low
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Why it moved before close
No moves were explained in the 7 days before close.
Market explained before close
This market measures whether the price of Bitcoin drops to $75,000 or lower during November. It relies strictly on one-minute candle data from a single specific trading pair on Binance.
How it resolves
The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for the BTC/USDT pair records a final Low price equal to or lower than $75,000 between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on November 30. Price action occurring before the market's creation does not count. The market resolves to No if no qualifying 1-minute candle reaches $75,000 or lower by that deadline. Resolution is determined solely using Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute chart data, excluding all other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets.
Key dates
- End of November measurement window: — 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November
Resolution source
Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle data
AI-generated before close · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·
Resolution rules at close
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
About this page
A record of how this market resolved. The prices, analysis and rules shown here come from data Brierpoint captured or generated before close.