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CryptoCloses · in 17 days$27.1K volumePart of: What price will Ethereum hit in November? →

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in November?

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Gotcha risk

Low

0 of 4 factors flagged

Watch for: The rules are clearly defined with an objective threshold, clear timeframe, and specific measurement criteria.

Read the full assessment

The rules are clearly defined with an objective threshold, clear timeframe, and specific measurement criteria. The resolution relies entirely on a single named source: the final High price of 1-minute candles for the Binance ETH/USDT pair between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the last day of November. There is virtually no source discretion or ambiguity, though participants should be aware that price spikes on other exchanges or different trading pairs will not trigger a positive resolution.

Resolver
Low
Timing
Low
Wording
Low
Exceptions
Low

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·

Current price

9%

chance

▼ −7 pts · 24h

Yes9¢
No92¢
↑ 2,400 · Yes · 1MO 57.5 H 58.5 L 6.5 C 8.5−49.0 (−85.2%)

Why it moved

Latest move

▼ −11 pts24h · detected 12 Nov 2026, 17:25 UTC

The market price fell from 22% to 12% as Ethereum dropped 4% over the 24-hour window, including a 0.64% decline during the move hour, moving further away from the $2,400 target.

  • Largest hourly change: 22:00 UTC, 23% of the net 24-hour change.
  • ETH (Binance): −0.6% in the move hour, −4.0% over 24 hours.
  • Closes 19 days after the move hour.
  • 5 related outcomes moved in the same window, 5 in the same direction. Largest: ↑ 2,200 (down), ↑ 2,300 (down), ↑ 2,600 (down).

Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.

A possible driver, not a confirmed cause. Wallets are anonymous. Activity is public on-chain; it says nothing about intent.

AI-generated · 12 Nov 2026, 17:36 UTC

Earlier

▼ −22 pts · 10 Nov 2026, 12:55 UTCThe market price dropped from 34% to 15%. There is insufficient evidence to identify a likely driver for the move.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 10 Nov 2026, 16:06 UTC

Earlier

▼ −31 pts · 9 Nov 2026, 00:55 UTCThe market fell from 58% to 28% as Ethereum dropped 4.46% on Binance during the hour, the likely driver making reaching $2,400 less likely.Price facts only. News isn't searched for crypto markets yet.AI-generated · 9 Nov 2026, 08:05 UTC

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market explained

This market measures whether Ethereum (ETH/USDT) reaches a high price of at least $2,400 during November. Resolution relies strictly on 1-minute candle high prices on Binance, excluding data from other exchanges or trading pairs.

How it resolves

The market resolves to Yes if any Binance 1-minute candle for ETH/USDT from the market creation time through 11:59 PM ET on November 30 has a final High price equal to or greater than $2,400. Price action prior to market creation is disregarded. The market resolves to No if no 1-minute candle meets or exceeds $2,400 by that deadline. Resolution is determined solely using Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute chart data, ignoring all other exchanges, spot markets, or trading pairs.

Resolution source

Binance (ETH/USDT 1-minute candle High prices)

AI-generated analysis · google/gemini-3.7-flash ·